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Science and technology lead the future

What if a major refining country cannot import oil

发布时间：

2023-02-24 16:54

来源：

政中财经

Recently, there is a news spread on the Internet, that is, the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Federation released news that China's 32 million tons and above refineries have increased to 9, the total refining capacity is as high as 2 million tons per year, has become the world's largest refining country, and the high-quality development of the petroleum industry has achieved a new leap.

As soon as the news was reported, it quickly aroused great concern and heated discussion. At the same time, many brain-opening netizens mentioned a question, China is a big oil importer, more refining means more oil China imports oil, in this context, once China can not import oil can last?

Frankly speaking, this question is very brainy, and after thinking about it for a while, I decided to answer this question from the following two aspects. Under what circumstances will China be completely unable to import oil? And how long will China's strategic oil reserves last once it cannot import oil?

First, answer from the first side. Taking the 2022 oil import data as an example, China imported 50827.6 million tons of oil last year. Excluding some small sellers, only 22 countries have the largest export volume, of which 8 countries account for the highest proportion of oil exports, in order: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the United Arab Emirates, Oman, Malaysia, Kuwait, Angola. 、

Therefore, we take 10,000 steps back and say, even if China and the United States have a comprehensive confrontation in the future, and the United States draws the above countries to restrict the export of oil to China, Russia will not be able to turn to the United States, and Russia's oil mainly passes through railways and pipelines, which the United States cannot blockade.

Of course, the United States cannot block Russia, but if other countries are drawn by the United States, or the United States blocks China's sea shipping routes from the Middle East and Africa, then China's oil imports will inevitably be hit hard, as a large oil importer, it will naturally have a great impact.

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